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Briefly explain the two major models of expectations formation. What are the implications for macroeconomic policy of assuming one model or the other?

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For example, if the rate of inflation in...

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The American Recovery and Reinvestment Act, signed into law in February 2009, was designed to shift aggregate


A) demand rightward.
B) demand leftward.
C) supply rightward.
D) supply leftward.

E) None of the above
F) All of the above

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Adjustable-rate mortgages usually have interest rates lower than market rates during the first year.

A) True
B) False

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Both _____ on credit by households and _____ interest rates set in motion the events that led to the 2007-2009 financial crisis.


A) overspending; high
B) underspending; high
C) underspending; low
D) overspending; low

E) None of the above
F) C) and D)

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(Figure: Determining Long-Run and Short-Run Economic Shifts) Starting at point r, the economy will move to point _____ in the long run if policymakers successfully increase aggregate demand. (Figure: Determining Long-Run and Short-Run Economic Shifts)  Starting at point r, the economy will move to point _____ in the long run if policymakers successfully increase aggregate demand.   A)  m B)  s C)  j D)  n


A) m
B) s
C) j
D) n

E) A) and D)
F) A) and B)

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(Figure: Understanding Phillips Curves Shifts 2) Which statement BEST describes a decision by Congress to move the economy from Phillips curve PC0 to Phillips curve PC1? (Figure: Understanding Phillips Curves Shifts 2)  Which statement BEST describes a decision by Congress to move the economy from Phillips curve PC<sub>0</sub> to Phillips curve PC<sub>1</sub>?   A)  Policymakers implemented expansionary fiscal policy, accepting more unemployment to reduce the rate of inflation. B)  Policymakers implemented contractionary fiscal policy, accepting a higher rate of inflation to reduce unemployment. C)  Policymakers implemented expansionary fiscal policy to reduce the expected inflation rate. D)  Policymakers implemented contractionary fiscal policy to decrease the expected inflation rate.


A) Policymakers implemented expansionary fiscal policy, accepting more unemployment to reduce the rate of inflation.
B) Policymakers implemented contractionary fiscal policy, accepting a higher rate of inflation to reduce unemployment.
C) Policymakers implemented expansionary fiscal policy to reduce the expected inflation rate.
D) Policymakers implemented contractionary fiscal policy to decrease the expected inflation rate.

E) A) and D)
F) C) and D)

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Adjustable-rate mortgages are attractive to many homebuyers because these mortgages start out with a _____ interest rate that _____ in later years.


A) low; adjusts upward
B) low; stays the same
C) high; stays the same
D) high; adjusts upward

E) All of the above
F) None of the above

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Economic expectations formed after individuals make the best possible use of all publicly available information are known as _____ expectations.


A) public
B) rational
C) judgmental
D) adaptive

E) A) and B)
F) A) and C)

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When the expected rate of inflation increases, the Phillips curve


A) shifts to the right.
B) shifts to the left.
C) becomes horizontal.
D) disappears.

E) C) and D)
F) B) and D)

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(Figure: Understanding Phillips Curves) What is the expected inflation rate associated with Phillips curve PCb? (Figure: Understanding Phillips Curves)  What is the expected inflation rate associated with Phillips curve PC<sub>b</sub>?   A)  0% B)  3% C)  4% D)  5%


A) 0%
B) 3%
C) 4%
D) 5%

E) B) and D)
F) B) and C)

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One of the trigger points for the financial crisis of 2007-2009 was when


A) interest rates on adjustable-rate mortgages were reset at a higher level.
B) foreigners started to sell off their holdings of U.S. financial instruments.
C) the Federal Reserve started to raise short-term interest rates.
D) the federal government started to engage in deficit spending.

E) All of the above
F) A) and B)

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_____ expectations measure the rate of inflation expected by workers for any given period.


A) Rational
B) Natural
C) Wage
D) Inflationary

E) All of the above
F) B) and C)

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Describe how inflationary expectations can take on a life of their own and thwart policymakers. Use a graph to support your response (begin with full employment and inflation with inflationary expectations equal to zero).

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Panel A of the graph below shows the eco...

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In a jobless recovery, neither output nor employment growth occurs.

A) True
B) False

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Which of these is an appropriate policy to address a jobless recovery?


A) lowering interest rates to reduce the cost of financing major projects
B) increasing taxes to reduce the national debt
C) decreasing government spending to bring the deficit under control
D) decreasing the money supply to prevent inflation

E) C) and D)
F) B) and C)

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Which of these was a change in banks' lending practices that contributed to a housing bubble?


A) Lenders began to require borrowers to provide proof of income.
B) Banks began to originate subprime loans they did not intend to keep.
C) Banks developed fixed-rate mortgage loans.
D) Banks began to rigorously check borrowers' credit quality.

E) None of the above
F) B) and C)

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By paying an efficiency wage, employers give employees an incentive to shirk their duties.

A) True
B) False

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The unemployment rate during the 2007-2009 recession was _____ the unemployment rate in the previous two recessions.


A) higher than
B) about the same as
C) lower than
D) not comparable with

E) A) and D)
F) All of the above

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As the economy recovers, the Federal Reserve will wind down its bond purchases, causing interest rates to fall.

A) True
B) False

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Which statement(s) is/are TRUE? I. People on fixed incomes will not be hurt if the United States monetizes its debt. II) If the cost of Medicare changes as health care costs increase, it would enhance the government's ability to keep deficits and the national debt under control over the long term. III) If the United States monetizes its debt, it will result in a weaker dollar if foreigners hold fewer U.S. dollars.


A) I only
B) II only
C) III only
D) I, II, and III only

E) A) and B)
F) C) and D)

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